2023-2033 Industry Employment Projections

Total Arizona Employment Projected to Grow by 486,348 Jobs Through 2033

Presentation Video

The Full Release

The following links provide access to the full press release:

• Read the Employment Projections Press Release
• View the Employment Projections Press Release Presentation
• View the Employment Projections Video presented by Doug Walls, Labor Information Director
• View Current Release Schedule

Overview

The Office of Economic Opportunity (OEO) is projecting Arizona employment to increase to 3,921,138 jobs in 2033 from 3,434,790 jobs in 2023. This represents growth of 486,348 jobs (1.3% annual change). By comparison, United States employment is projected to grow by 0.4% annually from 2023 to 2033. 

Supersector Highlights

Eleven Arizona supersectors are projected to gain jobs from 2023 to 2033.

Arizona's major sectors are projected to record the following employment changes:

• Health Care and Social Assistance: 137,528 jobs (2.6% annually)
• Construction: 51,424 jobs (2.2% annually)
• Manufacturing: 31,504 jobs (1.5% annually)
• Leisure and Hospitality: 53,914 jobs (1.3% annually)
• Professional and Business Services: 62,940 jobs (1.3% annually)
• Trade Transportation and Utilities: 80,413 jobs (1.2% annually)
• Other Services: 13,085 jobs (1.2% annually)
• Financial Activities: 17,807 jobs (0.7% annually)
• Information: 3,711 jobs (0.7% annually)
• Educational Services: 8,111 jobs (0.3% annually)
• Government: 5,642 jobs (0.3% annually)
• Natural Resources and Mining: -1,431 jobs (-0.3% annually)
   

Geographic Highlights

Gains are projected in all 15 counties over the ten-year forecast period.

Arizona's counties are projected to record the following employment changes:

• Maricopa County: 402,106 jobs (1.5% annually)
• Pima County: 32,838 jobs (0.7% annually)
• Pinal County: 10,195 jobs (1.2% annually)
• Yavapai County: 10,054 jobs (1.2% annually)
• Mohave County: 7,049 jobs (1.1% annually)
• Yuma County: 6,935 jobs (0.8% annually)
• Coconino County: 6,441 jobs (0.9% annually)
• Navajo County: 2,579 jobs (0.8% annually)
• Cochise County: 1,946 jobs (0.5% annually)
• Graham County: 1,796 jobs (1.4% annually)
• Gila County: 1,364 jobs (0.8% annually)
• Santa Cruz County: 886 jobs (0.6% annually)
• Greenlee County: 728 jobs (1.1% annually)
• La Paz County: 603 jobs (0.8% annually)
• Apache County: 180 jobs (0.1% annually)

The next press release is scheduled for November 14, 2024.